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Counting the waves…
Counting the waves…
Whatever we say, we show how it turned out — good or bad. Every number below is computed from live data; nothing is hand-picked.
Each day our AI reads the market news and gives a tone: positive, negative or neutral. News can take time to play out, so we check three times — the next session, a week later (5 sessions) and a month later (20 sessions): did NEPSE move that way? (Neutral days are not counted.)
Matched the next session
11/14
so far — we need at least 20 days before quoting a %
Matched a week later
9/14
so far — we need at least 20 days before quoting a %
Matched a month later
0/6
so far — we need at least 20 days before quoting a %
Matched the move BEFORE the news
11/14
so far — we need at least 20 days before quoting a %
Only 14 days are counted so far and the week/month results are still coming in — so we claim no accuracy yet. We show a % only once there are at least 20 days.
If the “before the news” number is bigger than the “next session” one, the headlines mostly describe what the market already did — “the market makes the news”. Our research on this: The Headline Myth
| News day | AI tone | NEPSE next session | Result | Week later | Month later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | positive | -1.3% | ❌ | -1.3% ❌ | pending |
| 2026-10-29 | positive | -0.2% | ❌ | -1.6% ❌ | pending |
| 2026-10-19 | positive | -0.2% | ❌ | +2.1% ✅ | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | positive | +0.3% | ✅ | +2.6% ✅ | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | positive |
Every wave analysis we publish has a target (TP) and a stop loss (SL). TP hit is a win, SL hit a loss; partial results get half credit — the same rule as the Track Record page.
Win score
60%
TP hit
6
SL hit
4
Still open
19
31 total
Every analysis, one by one — Track Record →
On our stored data (71 sessions): how the stock moved 5 and 20 sessions after each signal (median), and how often it was higher. Look at the Pump/Dump rows — that is why we warn.
| Signal | Cases | 5d median | Higher | 20d median | Higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper circuitfew cases | 12 | -11.7% | 36% | -2.0% | 43% |
| Pullback in an uptrendfew cases | 19 | -0.5% | 35% | +2.3% | 67% |
| Dumpfew cases | 1 | +17.7% | 100% | -4.2% | 0% |
| Distribution | 71 | -1.5% | 27% | +1.8% |
Signals from broker trading — did the stock do better than the median stock over the same sessions? The Early Radar record covers 22 days and the daily broker data 27 sessions — still a short sample.
| Signal | Cases | Beat the median stock (10 sessions) | Avg move | vs median stock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early Radar — all top picks | 174 | 66% | +3.1% | +1.9% |
| Early Radar — fear modeprice flat, brokers buying | 79 | 72% | +3.7% | +2.0% |
| Early Radar — before the move | 116 | 69% | +3.3% | +1.8% |
| Early Radar — early climb | 58 | 59% | +2.7% | +2.1% |
| Signal | Cases | Beat the median stock (5 sessions) | Avg move | vs median stock |
|---|
A paper portfolio of stocks where our measured signals agree, since 2026-11-02 (3 sessions): +0.0% — NEPSE -0.1% over the same time. 0 closed trades; worst drop 0.0%.
Past results do not guarantee future ones. This page is here to show honestly how reliable we are — it is not investment advice.
| +0.2% |
| ✅ |
| +1.6% ✅ |
| pending |
| 2026-10-13 | positive | +0.8% | ✅ | +1.2% ✅ | pending |
| 2026-10-10 | positive | +0.1% | ✅ | +1.6% ✅ | pending |
| 2026-10-09 | positive | +0.1% | ✅ | +1.6% ✅ | pending |
| 2026-10-03 | negative | -0.8% | ✅ | +0.2% ❌ | +2.6% ❌ |
| 2026-10-02 | negative | -0.8% | ✅ | +0.2% ❌ | +2.6% ❌ |
| 2026-09-28 | negative | -0.4% | ✅ | -1.8% ✅ | +1.6% ❌ |
| 2026-09-27 | negative | -0.6% | ✅ | -1.6% ✅ | +2.3% ❌ |
| 65% |
| Steady buyer — week (4 of 5 days) | 131 | 58% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| Steady seller — weekfor sellers, a LOW % means the signal was right | 138 | 52% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
| Steady buyer — month (13 of 20 days) | 19 | 37% | -1.9% | 0.0% |
| Steady seller — month | 26 | 62% | -0.7% | +1.3% |
Sector / stock signals: the daily record is building (5 days) — results come 10 sessions after each day.
Volume climax (a one-day spike near a high, 305 cases): lower 20 sessions later 68% of the time — 63% on ordinary days. Dry-up rally (94 cases): higher 20 sessions later only 11% of the time (ordinary days 37%) — in this market that sign has not worked.